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M$R — Independent reviewers find NASA Mars Sample Return plans are seriously flawed “MSR was established with unrealistic budget and schedule expectations from the beginning.”

Eric Berger – Sep 21, 2023 8:33 pm UTC Enlarge / The fate of a mission to return samples from Mars hangs in the balance.NASA reader comments 83 with

An independent review of NASA’s ambitious mission to return about half a kilogram of rocks and soil from the surface of Mars has found that the program is unworkable in its current form.

NASA had been planning to launch the critical elements of its Mars Sample Return mission, or MSR, as soon as 2028, with a total budget for the program of $4.4 billion. The independent review board’s report, which was released publicly on Thursday, concludes that both this timeline and budget are wildly unrealistic.

The very earliest the mission could launch from Earth is 2030, and this opportunity would only be possible with a total budget of $8 billion to $11 billion.

“MSR is a deep-space exploration priority for NASA,” the report states. “However, MSR was established with unrealistic budget and schedule expectations from the beginning. MSR was also organized under an unwieldy structure. As a result, there is currently no credible, congruent technical, nor properly margined schedule, cost, and technical baseline that can be accomplished with the likely available funding.”

The findings of the independent review, led by Orlando Figueroa, a retired deputy center director for science and technology at NASAs Goddard Space Flight Center, echo a report published by Ars Technica about three months ago raising serious questions about costs and schedule. The concern expressed by some scientists, including former NASA science chief Thomas Zurbuchen, was that the ballooning cost of Mars Sample Return would cannibalize funding from other science missions. Advertisement Further ReadingNASAs Mars Sample Return has a new price tagand its colossal

After the Ars Technica report, some policymakers in the US Senate also expressed serious concerns about the direction of the sample return program. The mission

Under NASA’s existing plan, the space agency will develop a large “Sample Retriever Lander.” After this vehicle lands on Mars, the Perseverance roverwhich has been collecting and storing samples of Martian dust in 38 titanium tubes, each the size of a large hotdogwill bring its samples to the lander.

Once delivered to the lander, these sample tubes will be placed aboard a rocket called the Mars Ascent Vehicle. This rocket is being developed by Lockheed Martin, and it will be stowed inside the lander. After launching from Mars, this rocket will release the “Orbiting Sample container” into Martian orbit, where it would be picked up by an “Earth return orbiter” built by the European Space Agency. This vehicle would carry the samples back to Earth orbit, where they would be released into a small spacecraft to land on the planet about five years after the mission’s start.

As a backup plan, in case Perseverance is unable to deliver the samples to the lander, NASA proposed including two small helicopters like the Ingenuity vehicle to fetch the samples. The independent reviewers said a single helicopter would likely be acceptable. Page: 1 2 Next → reader comments 83 with Eric Berger Eric Berger is the senior space editor at Ars Technica, covering everything from astronomy to private space to wonky NASA policy, and author of the book Liftoff, about the rise of SpaceX. A certified meteorologist, Eric lives in Houston. Advertisement Channel Ars Technica ← Previous story Next story → Related Stories Today on Ars

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