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Bitcoin network activity is underwhelming, the famous analyst says, as further data reaffirms a textbook BTC price bottom in progress. 13808 Total views 83 Total shares Listen to article 0:00 Markets News Own this piece of crypto history
Collect this article as NFT Bitcoin (BTC) only needs one more key on-chain signal for a classic bull market to begin, analyst David Puell says.
In a tweet on Dec. 17, the Puell Multiple creator argued that the stage is almost set for the end of the BTC price bear market.Puell: Bitcoin network activity underwhelming
Despite many calling for new BTC/USD lows of $12,000 or less this cycle, not everyone is wholly bearish on the outlook for Bitcoin.
For Puell, two essential on-chain phenomena necessary for BTC price recovery are already in evidence.
Long-term holders (LTHs) are resisting the urge to sell despite Bitcoin being down over 70% from its last all-time high.
At the same time, short-term speculators are feeling acute pain from recent price action. As Cointelegraph reported, these tourists are likely already mostly gone from the market.
All that is missing, Puell believes, is a rise in network activity from all participants.
On-chain, three factors are needed for a bull: 1. Holding behavior from long-term investors. 2. Painful losses from short-term speculators. 3. Network activity across the board, he summarized:Personally seeing 1 and 2. 3 is still underwhelming.
He added that favorable macro conditions would aid the turnaround, as well as crypto becoming more resilient to contagion in the form of exogenous and endogenous swans.
BTC/USD traded at around $16,700 at the time of writing, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewA Bitcoin halving cycle like any other?
That perspective chimes with others calling for calm over current BTC price performance.
Related:Bitcoin targets $16.7K amid fear BNB may ‘drag whole crypto market down’
Among them is popular analytics account Dilution-proof, which on the day drew attention to BTC/USD simply copying previous bear market behavior.
Evidence came in the form of Bitcoins MVRV-z score an expression of market cap to realized cap in standard deviations. Dilution-proof initially called the metric Market-Value-to-Realized-Value Temperature (MVRVT).
Currently, accompanying charts showed signs pointing to a classic bear market bottom formation, with Dilution-proof stating that Bitcoin is just doing what it does at this post-halving date literally every cycle.BitcoinMarket-Value-to-Realized-Value Temperature (MVRVT) chart. Source: Dilution-proof/ Twitter
Cointelegraph previously included MVRV-z in a list of striking similarities between 2022 and past price cycles.
The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph. #Bitcoin #Bitcoin Price #Markets Related News Reaching the Bitcoin price bottom is a process, says The Wolf of All Streets, Scott Melker Bitcoin retraces intraday gains as bears aim to pin BTC price under $18K BTC price levels to watch as Bitcoin dives below $17.5K post-FOMC Bitcoin Santa Claus rally unlikely, according to on-chain and derivatives data Bitcoin dips under $17K as craziest rumors over Binance sink BTC price